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deskgameAgainst the Colts (4-6), things likely will be much closer. Indianapolis does its best work on the ground, and the Colts' defense has allowed the third-most yards rushing this season. deskgameHorvath’s 1,099 rushing yards are the fourth most among QBs; he averages nearly 100 yards per game. The Sooners are without key starters on defense, which should help Horvath surpass his rushing prop. deskgameIt may seem like a slightly bold call to forecast Kansas City’s first loss, but its luck might run out this time. The last two weeks, the Chiefs had to overcome a scrappy Buccaneers team and then edged Denver on a last-second blocked field goal. deskgameBuffalo did lose to Baltimore and Houston in Weeks 5 and 6, but has since rebounded to win six consecutive games, capped by this week’s impressive victory over the Chiefs. None of the five teams they beat before KC have winning records, but winners beat who they are supposed to beat, and the win against Kansas City proved that the Bills were simply not fattening up on low-level competition.